MarketMap-2021 Annual Scenario Planner Issue #8
April 5, 2021
April 5, 2021
The Confluence of Major Long Term Cycles 2021
The change of trend (COT) table presented here provides new users the ability to see how – when the market is in a channel – not a forceful trend – can pinpoint the short-term (S-T) high and lows. The most recent being a low-pivot by the Dow on March 25. The updated table for the new quarter can be found later in the report.
The Time Factor
It took me over twenty years to put together a comprehensive all-reaching investment and trading strategy. A system that combines price analysis by looking at its volatility background for context to get an accurate forecast of market dynamics (published in Volatility Reports). Adding into the system the study of time, which is a critical factor that most people do not talk about in my technical analysis field, you hear about everything else but cycles. I believe that is because demarcating time for many is like looking at a craze, only ephemeral events with little use.
But it is the time factor that is critical; if you are going to be able to time the market accurately along with its dynamics, you need to time the change of trend (COT) to be accurate and achieve alpha. But if your analysis of the coming dynamics is not valid, your COT could lead to nothing but a flat market. So, context and cycles are essential to complement each other. …”The Time Factor” continued below
Please Note because of “hyper-correlation,” the COT table pertains to all markets. So as a generality, if the market is advancing into a COT date window, expect a pivot, and if the market is declining into the COT time window, expect a low. The dynamics are predicted via the Technical Event Matrix in the LI group and Volaltity Reports.