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March 20, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#10

CT’s Headline March 13, 2024
“News Events preceding the open have rallied prices into the tidal high due today”

The QQQ among other indices have already made their primary price (nominal) high on 3/8/2024 and a secondary high (lower) high on 3/13/24. These highs have held thus far. I posted Tuesday in the “Volatility Reports” group that the majority of big names and leadership were not in a position to make new highs. Thus, leaving new highs today  only by the big caps – the Dow and the S&P – as a bearish divergence for the overall risk markets.

While price highs may be in place for the majority its all about risk management the dynamics of the market from here. For bear trades we want to be on the right hand side of the high pivot, and we want a one way trend to follow.

Volatility Reports is calling for a pro-direction or a one way trend coming out of today’s highs, be them higher of lower highs.

Time wise a near term or temporary low is expected early next week, see table posted here.

Gallery and analysis continued below

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March 12, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#9

 News Events preceding the open have rallied prices into the tidal high due today.

Since the lows precisely 135 days ago (three cycles) the bulls have run the Globex into the opening liquidity so they can exit their longs on a day trade. Easy come easy go. No matter the news, its the spin and the bulls have it going into Tuesday’s open.

However, timing is not on their side. It goes past the reliability of  the tidal cycles posted up regular S-T highs, hitting now. But from an calendar cycle point of view and an attitudinal point of view things are expected to change in the current time frame.

The top featured chart shown here reflects the uptrend from the October 2023 low when this most recent phase of

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March 4, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#8

Ready for a blast or already plastered?

When all independent formulas for predicting the market are converging on the same space and time, something has to give way. No joke and no one seem to expect much of any change. At most the bulls would like a “… mild pullback, as it would be a healthy reset…”

Independent of the media spin which is 100% focused on AI all of the time, no one is game to point to the path progress always takes of, “create, destroy, recreate.” Everyone remains in the creative frame of mind. Yet from experience we all know what has happened to the various other technology breakout industries. After they have emerged onto the scene it becomes dog eat dog capitalism. There is an insurgence of the “copy cats,”  and the intensity of competition is not imaginary.

Just have a quick review of stock booms since 1990, from the internet, to electric vehicles easy come easy go.

I know it’s difficult to break away from the current hype but as investors, wealth managers and traders we all need to focus on what the market is saying not what the media is selling, be it network or social.

Everyone as in 90% of anyone that invest in stocks / bonds is looking for a catalyst. The reasons for the market’s change of heart are always rationalized but after the fact.

From the fundamental side the doom and gloom has not changed in decades and they will all be their pointing their finger at the Fed and saying I told you so and more than happy to accept the laurels.  Today with Bitcoin mania there is a renewed focus on a sovereign debt crisis. No one recalls the Clinton era of balanced budgets, which no one thought could happen, ever. And they have only one understanding of inflation, while there are three different kinds. Lastly they have no clue that its “confidence” that drives the markets, not voodoo economics.

All four primary elements that make up the market are colliding.
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