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TOPICS: ·National Security Threats·The Fed·Traditional Technical Market Research·U S Dollar
RELEVANCE: ·bad·good·not sure

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S&P 500: The Moment Of Truth Approaches

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: Traditional Technical Market Research  · Relevance: not sure

S&P 500: The Moment Of Truth Approaches

Summary The S&P 500 is trading at a very crucial inflection point. The Fed may already be behind the curve, and may not cut rates and introduce other easing policies in time to save this tiring bull market rally. Without significant China trade deal progress, additional pressure could be put on consumer spending, corporate profits could become damaged, and it may help lead the U.S. to a recession. Why […]

The Charts Are Looking Uglier (Technically Speaking For August 19-23)

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: Traditional Technical Market Research  · Relevance: not sure

The Charts Are Looking Uglier (Technically Speaking For August 19-23)

Summary International news continues to be concerning. The US housing market is in good shape. Overall bearishness is growing in several time frames. International Economic Releases China/Japan/Australia Australia Markit Composite PMI : 52-1-49.5 Manufacturing PMI: 51.6-51.3 Service PMI: 52.3-49.2 Japan Markit Composite PMI : 50.6-51.7 Manufacturing: 49.4-49.5 Service: 51.8-53.4 Asia conclusion: The Markit data indicates that Japan’s manufacturing sectors continued to experience weakness, largely related to ongoing trade issues. […]

Retail Sentiment Signals Trouble For U.S. Equities

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: Traditional Technical Market Research  · Relevance: bad

Retail Sentiment Signals Trouble For U.S. Equities

Summary Scientific publications revealed a negative relationship between extreme sentiment and equity returns. The 2019 rally carried retail sentiment into the euphoric territory as valuations are expensive during a late stage of the expansionary cycle. An evidence-based approach concludes a negative market outlook for U.S. equities. Investor sentiment is one of the pillars of behavioral finance and defines the general attitude towards future market prices. Investors form their opinion […]

“Big Short” Investor Michael Burry Is Long Gamestop In New Activist Play

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: Traditional Technical Market Research  · Relevance: bad

Michael Burry, the physician and hedge fund manager who rose to fame as a character in Michael Lewis’s book "The Big Short" (he was one of a handful of investors who saw the housing market coming and bet against the investment-grade subprime mortgage bonds using credit default swaps), has found his next contrarian call: Going long shares of Gamestop. Gamestop has consistently ranked among the most-shorted stocks listed in […]

Dow Drops 500 as Trump Escalates China Trade War

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: The Fed  · Relevance: good

Dow Drops 500 as Trump Escalates China Trade War

U.S. stock indexes slumped nearly 2% on Friday after President Donald Trump told U.S. companies they should look for ways to close their China operations, following Beijing’s announcement that it would impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods. Trump’s assertion that the U.S. would be “far better off” without China wiped out what would have been Wall Street’s first weekly gain since July, while also knocking back the impact of […]

Trump’s offer to purchase Greenland was much more than just a real estate deal

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: National Security Threats  · Relevance: good

Trump's offer to purchase Greenland was much more than just a real estate deal

Donald Trump’s proposal to purchase Greenland centres on control of its subsurface minerals. Donald Trump’s offer to buy Greenland — and subsequent cancellation of a scheduled meeting with the Prime Minister of Denmark via Twitter after being rebuffed — has all of the hallmarks of one of his typically absurd, but ultimately unmemorable, diplomatic gaffes. His description of the proposal to purchase one of the world’s largest islands, inhabited […]

Donald Trump orders US companies to ‘start looking for alternatives’ to China

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: National Security Threats  · Relevance: good

Donald Trump orders US companies to 'start looking for alternatives' to China

Photo: China has announced it will raise tariffs on $US75 billion of US products. (AP: Susan Walsh, File) US President Donald Trump says he has "hereby ordered" American companies to consider alternatives to doing business in China after Beijing announced a series of retaliatory tariffs. Wall Street stocks tumbled after Mr Trump tweeted US companies in China should come home The comments came after China announced 10 per cent […]

Will Europe Punish China If Xi Crushes Hong Kong?

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: National Security Threats  · Relevance: not sure

Will Europe Punish China If Xi Crushes Hong Kong?

Authored by James Gorrie via The Epoch Times, President Trump’s decision to link U.S. tariff negotiations to China’s handling of the ongoing Hong Kong protests seems like a smart move. It amply demonstrates the importance of Hong Kong in the eyes of America and other Western democracies. It would also seem to give Chinese leader Xi Jinping even less room to maneuver, and may add leverage to the U.S. […]

Stocks, Dollar, Yields Crash; Gold Explodes As Stunned Traders React To Series Of Surreal Events

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: U S Dollar  · Relevance: not sure

Stocks, Dollar, Yields Crash; Gold Explodes As Stunned Traders React To Series Of Surreal Events

Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech was supposed to be the most important even of an otherwise sleepy, August day day, after which traders could quietly exit for the rest of the day and commence drinking. It did not quite work out that way. Not only did Powell’s speech barely make the top 3 most important events, but Friday ended up being an exercise in surreal market newsflow, and one […]

Trump Hikes Tariffs On Chinese Goods In Retaliation To Trade War Escalation

August 23, 2019 ·  · Topic: U S Dollar  · Relevance: bad

Trump Hikes Tariffs On Chinese Goods In Retaliation To Trade War Escalation

As widely expected, and as he himself previewed earlier in the day, Trump was set to unveil a major development in the US-China trade war this afternoon. That happened moments ago, when the president, in a series of 4 tweets, confirmed that he indeed was hiking tariffs on both existing and future China tariffs. Specifically, Trump announced that in response to the $75 billion in tariffs that China just […]

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