• Background Image

    CT Journals

    commodities

February 3, 2021

Volatility Reports US Dollar 2/4/21

The unraveling of the secular bull market in risk assets will come from the renewed secular bull market in the USD that began in 2011.

The redistribution of the wealth from the very top 1% to the 99%, will not blow out the budget or create monetary-based inflation, not turning the USA into a banana republic. I understand why the majority have a hard time getting their head around this when they cater to people with money. But highly unlikely not anyone in the 1%.
Furthermore, long-term Rooseveltian Economics is not Communism – no centralized ownership of assets –  and has the basis for the longest bull market from 1942 to 1966 / 69 / 72, bubble up economics.
You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
January 18, 2021

Volatility Reports 1/18/21 Gold

Gold, the inflation hedge, and the bearish trade. What makes that 1/oz nugget worth $1,834.30?

Contrary Thinker is short the Gold via GLL

9/10/2020 15:47

GLL $30.45 $33.54 10.15% $55 Stop $28.00

Tidal Wave S-T Inverse ETF

This advisory remains bearish on Gold. The protective stop on GLL will be moved, and a second position is expected this week. Volatility Reports is looking for a period of waterfall price action from here going into March. Here is why.

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
January 14, 2021

Volatility Reports Euro 1/14/21

The union of European states does not have the same underlying language or the same underlying culture.

Without such the Euro has an inherent emotional weakness to stay together in times of strife.

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
January 11, 2021

Volatility Reports New Bull Markets

The primary markets are pivoting in the same time frame as MarketMap’s COT time window due this week.

A short recap for the US dollar is posting up a low. The flip side of that is the Euro is reversing and about to resume its downtrend. The US long bonds are posting up a low as well.  As Volatility Reports pointed out in the December 30, 2020 Volatility Reports on the Bitcoin that:

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
January 6, 2021

Volatility Reports US Dollar 1/6/21

USD In the 12/14/20 update

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
December 21, 2020

Volatility Reports 12/21/20

Why take a 50% drawdown risk for the average annual return of 10%? Because major declines can’t be timed,  so they say.
You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
December 14, 2020

Volatility Reports 12/14/20 Recap

The traditional move late in the cycle is to buy offshore bonds in a stronger currency than the USD. This tact has worked over the last twenty years but that regime is changing.

USD makes a long-term bottom; one more decline to the low 90s is in gear and touch with the COTs due this week. The bar chart pattern is a horizontal triangle, which supports a thrust lower and a terminal move, not the beginning of a new trend.

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
December 9, 2020

The Last Fourty Years Were an Outlier

Contrary Thinker deals in Time, your preparedness, not fear.

“Let me admit something. There is no Bond King or a Stock King, or an Investor Sovereign alive that can claim title to a throne. All of us, even the old guys like Buffett, Soros, Fuss, and me too, have cut our teeth during perhaps a most advantageous period, the most attractive epoch, that an investor could experience. Since the early 1970s when the dollar was released from gold and credit began it’s an incredible liquifying total return journey to the present day an investor that took marginal risk leveraged it wisely and was conveniently sheltered from periodic bouts of deleveraging or asset withdraws could and in some cases was rewarded with the crown of greatness. Perhaps, however, it was the era they made the man as opposed to the man that made the era.”

Bill Gross, Man in the Mirror April 12, 2013
You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
November 30, 2020

11/30/20 Volatility Report Recap

The new decade, the new White House, the old White House undermining the incoming, an influx of inexperienced investors plus measures of market fragility equals major changes

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
November 23, 2020

Volatility Reports Gold and GLL

Follow up on Gold and Bearish Trade

CT cited downside targets on the metal for the long term from 1641 to 1742 and the I-T S&R zone from 1816 to 1847 to 1816.  The opening action this far today is pressing I-T support.  Once broken the gold market should snowball. Why?

You need to login to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
error: Content is protected !!