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September 4, 2020

MarketMap 2020 Issue #15

“It’s like déjà vu all over again.”

“Bears need love too”

It is worth repeating part of my comment regarding the reversal from the highs on 9/2/20 that “Doing the math, counting forward ten days was yesterday the 2nd. With a potential high pivot threatening, the bulls will attack long volatility futures that are breaking out as they go back to the mean reversion selling of the volatility complex. Hence the key for bears is the ability to hold the break.

I also said in this LinkedIn group space that “Markets do not crash from a major peak.” In other words, a long bar day declines of 4 or 5% off a high is more typical of a bull market shake-out vs the beginning of a new bear trend.”

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February 16, 2019

Direction Neutral Risk Assessment

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