October 26, 2020
February 16, 2019
February 15, 2019
November 27, 2018
How to use the Technical Event Model
Here is an example of waiting for near 100% certainty set up. The overarching measurement for engagement of the long volatility strategy is our Technical Event Model (TEM).
One reason why a many will ignore this idea is they expect to see profits every calendar period for the system, but consistency is not the point here, at least not yet. Instead, can a trader use a filter to tell him when to trade a market strategy and when to trade it aggressively or not to trade it at all? That is the point; we can work that into monthly and annual profit consistency later.
November 19, 2018
Technical Event Model – Volatility modeling
Market backdrop provides a springboard for a dynamic trend. In the new millennium, the Read More
November 6, 2018
What follows is a blurb from the 14-page big issue Volatility Reports that is going out today covering all the various time horizons and where the market is at this eventful period.
October 23, 2018
If irony evades you, you are in the majority, heads up.
Contrary Thinkers know,” the market programs the investor to do just the opposite of what he should be doing.” Contrary Thinkers also know that investors are not hard-wired to fail at achieving alpha, like so many others, would like you to believe. Its all a matter of being a Contrarian. Read More
October 17, 2018
Based on the evidence this is what I know
In the wake of the extended bull market since November 6, 2016, and more recently the advance from the April lows it will be hard to resist bullish actions the day after a 500 point rally by the Dow.
July 30, 2018
The energy sector is setting up for a big move
If there is a downdraft in the stock indices as expected, do not be surprised if all risk assets go down at the same time. It is what the pros call hyper-correlation. However,
May 30, 2018
At the risk of sounding like a critic, all the bullish and bearish analysis I read on the LinkedIn timelines, in its groups or on the more professional Twitter feeds is not predicated on the market’s context.
I mean, no matter the directional outcome of the analysis, both the bulls and the bears are running on the same track. They are all handicapped in the same environment. The only problem is, the overlooking the backdrop or assuming it to be fundamental.