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July 2, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#17

The art and science of asking questions is the source of all knowledge. … Part of being successful is about asking questions and listening to the answers. … The best scientists and explorers have the attributes of kids! … Asking questions is the first way to begin change.

Help me bring out the best in you, ask questions, suggest markets.
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June 25, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#16

Hocus Pocus, Flippety-Flam, Razzamatazz and Alakazam!

Just think all these years you have been doing it the hard way.

But there is no magic when you look at the rules of astrology, some passing aspects or angles are soft and harmonious while others are hard and conflicting. As the disruptive types should imply the negative, which have the tendency to be bottoms, these hard transits are negative attractors. The flip side is obvious, with the positive angles tend to happen at tops, to be positive attraction.

As a generality, a trend ascending into soft transits is when risk should be sold, expect a top. Where a downtrend into a hard angle risk should be bought, expect a bottom.

Whats happening now with the change of seasons.
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May 22, 2024

MarketMap™ 2024 Scenario Planner Issue#15

Elliott’s Alternation Rule

EWT: Alternation (guidance) – If wave 2 is a sharp correction, wave four is usually a sideways correction and vice versa. If the first one is simple the next one is complex and vice versa. However, triangles can be the alternate when considering a fourth wave.

A simple EWT rotation rule says that corrective waves 2 and 4 cannot be the same, so traders should expect something different. The trick is to figure out if the next correction is of the same magnitude as the previous one. The size of the counter trend referred to in terms of “degrees.”

This makes EWT sometimes biased, regardless of its motivation. Naysayers can debate whether or not this market has finished the great super-cycle that just started in 1871. In practice, both long-term investors and short-term traders are concerned with the contours of the market over the next 10-20 years, when the rotation rule can be applied in many ways, not just within EWT.

The chart I have been showing is the last three major tops each of them the same but of progressively higher degree. Hence the current topping process caps off the secular bull from 1974, a fifty year bull market, what has just not run out of space but its run out of time. The demographics are no longer their.

The flight to the dollar is still in its early stages, all cycles flip with the start of the second half of 2024. The annual scenario chart for the dollar tells the story well.

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