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    Volatility Reports 1/13/2021

    January 13, 2021

January 13, 2021

Volatility Reports 1/13/2021

An unexpected long bar move is very possible in the current time window – January 13-20

The chance of a secular change is high.  Risk assessment is a drawdown in global share markets of 36% in the first leg

Working from the long term down to the short term, they all reflect FOMO buying at an extreme. The Technical Event Model (TEM) reflects rule#1, an event that is a leading signal of a major change of trend.  Over time it is normally seen at lows but has the same meaning at high pivots. The past year to 15 months across all the popular markets there is a widespread emotional buying that persisted for months, It has shown up in Gold, Bonds, and FANG stocks.

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