November 16, 2020

Volatility Reports Bonds 11/16/2020

Bonds Long Term Bearish Trend Picking up Speed

Secular trends don’t turn on a dime, but they started at the end of 2017, the year of the lowest volatility in the market’s history. Since that date, even in the face of the need for increased sector rotation to outright market timing and long volatility investments, the sentiment repeats the same has to be a bullish narrative that began with QE1. But in the next forty years, we will witness a major shift that began in 1980 and is ending now. This does not mean everything is bearish, it means that strategies and timing, and time horizons will need to change.

The trend back to normal will be

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