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January 24, 2023

Volatility Reports January 25, 2023 (Video)

Anticipated changes can be more forceful than events happening out of nowhere.

The chart above shows the correction that happened when the last so-called “budget crisis” happened. The pattern is similar to the 2022 sell-off and the second half recovery into a double top the 12/1/22 and 12/13/22 tops. If a valid fractal, the decline that is forthcoming will be a waterfall…

…but as experienced traders you know to expect something similar but different based on the rule of alternations. So what could be different? 2009 just finished a 3-year bear and put a cap on the WFC. Two years later we were bullish but could it be that this time it’s really bearish not leading to recovery after the mini panic on 10/4/11?

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January 19, 2023

Volatility Reports January 19, 2023

Anticipated changes can be more forceful than events happening out of nowhere.

The chart above shows the correction that happened when the last so-called “budget crisis” happened. The pattern is similar to the 2022 sell-off and the second half recovery into a double top the 12/1/22 and 12/13/22 tops. If a valid fractal, the decline that is forthcoming will be a waterfall…

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January 7, 2023

MarketMap™ 2023 Scenario Planner Issue#2

The majority of the cycle analysis research that crosses my desk only gives a passing interest to the super cycle that is due in the current time frame.

At best a few act as if they are fair and balanced Journos providing both sides of the story if you will, which does no one any good and is a dodging the question: is there a bearish super cycle to be concerned about?

Most of all the investing public deserve more than “spit balling” insights when it comes to their achieving their investment objectives. They need to know, if there is at least a 50/50 chance or better, and how much lead time will the investor have to prepare for such a market event.

So while the “nice guys” point out only two iterations (occurrence) in the history of the super cycle, as not being “statistically significant.” But they are simply skirting the issue as they know there is a great number of harmonic subcycles that have been deadly accurate thus making the “doom and gloom” super cycle something the investment community and most of all CT’s membership needs to focus on.

What is scary for the social types is reflected in so many who post comments like, “why would they even want to discuss these depressing topics?” Only to read replay “because it sells more market newsletters.”

O.K. then, news to me. A one-minute video follows that covers an important COT cycle, bringing it forward from 1932.

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